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Wyatt Research Staff

The 101 Riskiest Dividend Stocks - new headline (Tim)

The 101 Riskiest Dividend Stocks

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Wyatt Research Staff

Options Advantage Homepage

Options Advantage Homepage

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Wyatt Research Staff

MDP Homepage

MDP Homepage

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Wyatt Research Staff

August 2014 Webinar

August 2014 Webinar

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Brendan Talty

Drone August 2014

I'm Putting My Money Where My Mouth Is Making it the Inaugural Pick in My Groundbreaking $1 Million Portfolio Newsletter.

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Wyatt Research Staff

100% Letter - Tim - $499

100% Letter - Tim - $499

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Wyatt Research Staff

The 101 Riskiest Dividend Stocks

The 101 Riskiest Dividend Stocks

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Rob Goldman

Beware the Month of August

I briefly noted last week that August is historically a bad month for stocks.  Apparently this sentiment, which I still maintain, has room for argument.  If one goes back to 1896 and reviews the monthly performance of the S&P 500 Index through 2013, it is clear that the monthly return average for August is indeed over 1%. However, if you look at 1950 to 2013, the month of August records an average decline of 0.24%. In a sense, it is a tale of two eras, with pre-1950 generating positive gains and post-1950 generating negative ones.

My take is dramatically different. I do not believe that we should go that far back in time to determine monthly performance in 2014. In my view, what is more relevant today is the direction in which the S&P 500 Index has performed in August since 2001. In general and especially in this century, some of the market’s worst-performing months have been August. To be fair, going back almost any number of years will illustrate that there are more up months than down in August. But, from 2001 – 2013, when there have been declines, the average drop has been a decline of 4.3%!  

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